Sunday, February 18, 2007

Jason Schmidt - A cut above?




The first thing to notice is that I did these on my desktop in Excel rather than on my laptop in Minitab. The second thing to notice is that Schmidt is a much better pitcher than most of the Dodger Starters. For one thing, he's got a much better strikeout rate, even after last year featured his worst numbers in that category. As a result, he peaks a lot higher. His greater durability will help this area as well. What is particularly good is that in the time series chart, it is evident that he does not stay below 40 for long, meaning he does not slump much, but in fact he tends to stay mostly in above average territory.

Schmidt has some health concerns, and his injury would hurt the Dodgers the most. Also, Schmidt has to adjust to his new team. This will mean more offense (no difference here unless he pitches differently), but a new defense (better? we'll see), along with different park factors for home games (which may prove unfavorable). However, if he is healthy and maintains this level of performance, he should be considered the staff ace.

Here are the descriptive stats:

Starts: 32
Mean: 55.22
SE: 2.76
Min: 20
Q1: 48
Med: 53
Q3: 65.25
Max: 84

1 comment:

StolenMonkey86 said...

I have to say I like the look of the minitab graphs more.